So, you want to figure out why prices go up and down? It all comes down to something called supply and demand. Think of it like a seesaw. When there are tons of something available (supply) but not many people want it (demand), the price usually drops. On the flip side, if something is hard to find (low supply) but everyone wants it (high demand), the price shoots up. This simple idea is the backbone of how prices are set for pretty much everything, from your morning coffee to the stocks you might invest in. Understanding how supply demand affects prices is like getting a secret decoder ring for the economy.
Key Takeaways
- The basic idea is that when there’s a lot of something available (supply) and not many people want it (demand), prices tend to fall. Conversely, when something is scarce (low supply) but many people want it (high demand), prices tend to rise.
- Factors like how many goods are made, company actions (like selling or buying back stock), and even how easy it is to get more products influence supply.
- What makes people want to buy things can change based on the economy, how companies are doing, and general feelings about the future. Demand can be pretty jumpy.
- When supply and demand don’t match up – either too much supply or not enough demand, or the other way around – it directly shapes the prices we see for everyday items and services.
- This supply and demand principle applies everywhere, from the housing market and jobs to the wild swings of the stock market, showing how supply demand affects prices across different areas.
Understanding The Core Principles Of Supply And Demand
Let’s break down the absolute basics of how prices move. It really boils down to two main things: how much of something is available (that’s supply) and how much people want it (that’s demand). These two forces are constantly interacting, and their dance is what sets the price for pretty much everything, from your morning coffee to the stocks you might be watching.
Defining The Law Of Supply And Demand
At its heart, the law of supply and demand is pretty straightforward. Think of it like this: when something gets more expensive, fewer people tend to want it, and more people are willing to sell it. Conversely, when something gets cheaper, more people want to buy it, and fewer people are willing to sell it. It’s a constant push and pull.
- Law of Demand: As the price of a good or service goes up, the quantity people want to buy goes down. If the price drops, people usually want more.
- Law of Supply: As the price of a good or service goes up, producers are usually willing to supply more of it. If the price drops, they tend to supply less.
The price of an item naturally moves towards a point where the amount people want to buy exactly matches the amount sellers want to sell. This sweet spot is called the market-clearing price.
The Relationship Between Price, Supply, And Demand
These three are tied together like a knot. Imagine a popular new video game comes out. Initially, there might not be many copies available (low supply), but everyone wants one (high demand). What happens to the price? It shoots up. Now, imagine a few months later, the game is everywhere (high supply), and the initial hype has died down a bit (lower demand). The price will likely start to fall.
It’s not always a perfect one-to-one relationship, though. Sometimes, a small price change can cause a big shift in how much people want something, or how much producers are willing to make. This is what economists call "price elasticity." For things people absolutely need, like basic medicine, a price change might not affect how much they buy very much. But for something like a fancy gadget, a price increase could really make people hold off.
Market Clearing Price: Where Supply Meets Demand
This is the magic number. It’s the price point where the quantity of a product that suppliers are willing to offer for sale is exactly equal to the quantity that consumers are willing to buy. If the price is too high, you’ll have unsold goods piling up because demand isn’t there. If the price is too low, you’ll have shortages because everyone wants it, but there isn’t enough to go around. The market naturally tries to find this balance.
Finding this equilibrium price is how markets efficiently allocate resources. It signals to producers what to make more of and to consumers what might be a better deal. It’s a constant, dynamic process that keeps things moving.
Here’s a simple way to visualize it:
| Price | Quantity Supplied | Quantity Demanded |
|---|---|---|
| $10 | 100 | 500 |
| $20 | 200 | 400 |
| $30 | 300 | 300 |
| $40 | 400 | 200 |
| $50 | 500 | 100 |
In this made-up example, the market-clearing price is $30, where 300 units are both supplied and demanded. If the price were $20, demand would be high (400 units), but supply would be low (200 units), leading to a shortage. If the price were $40, supply would be plentiful (400 units), but demand would be weak (200 units), leading to a surplus.
Factors Influencing The Availability Of Goods
Company Share Issuance And Buybacks
When we talk about the availability of goods, especially in the context of financial markets like stocks, a company’s decision to issue new shares or buy back existing ones plays a big role. If a company needs cash for expansion or other projects, it might sell more shares. This increases the total number of shares out there, meaning more supply. On the flip side, if a company is doing really well and has extra cash, it might buy back its own stock. This takes shares off the market, reducing the supply. It’s like a company deciding whether to print more money or take some out of circulation.
Impact Of Corporate Actions On Supply
Beyond just issuing or buying back shares, other corporate moves can really shake up how much of something is available. Think about mergers and acquisitions – when two companies become one, it can change how many products or services are offered. Stock splits, where a company divides its existing shares into multiple new ones, don’t actually change the total value but do increase the number of shares available. Then there are strategic decisions about production. If a company decides to ramp up manufacturing or, conversely, shut down a plant, that directly impacts the supply of its goods. Even a positive outlook from management can influence supply; if they believe good times are ahead, they might hold back on selling shares, limiting availability.
The Gradual Nature Of Supply Changes
It’s important to remember that changes in the availability of goods often don’t happen overnight. While a sudden event can cause a quick shift, many factors influencing supply take time to unfold. For instance, building a new factory or developing a new product line requires significant planning and investment, so the increased supply won’t appear immediately. Similarly, if a company decides to reduce production, it might do so gradually to avoid massive waste or disruption. This slower pace means that while demand might fluctuate, the supply side often adjusts more deliberately. This difference in speed between how quickly demand can change and how slowly supply can adjust is a key reason why prices can swing so much.
Here’s a look at how some corporate actions can affect stock supply:
| Corporate Action | Impact on Stock Supply |
|---|---|
| Issuing New Shares | Increases Supply |
| Stock Buybacks | Decreases Supply |
| Mergers & Acquisitions | Can Increase or Decrease |
| Stock Splits | Increases Number of Shares |
| Reducing Production | Decreases Supply |
| Expanding Production | Increases Supply |
Factors Driving The Desire To Purchase
So, what actually makes people want to buy stuff? It’s not just about needing something; a whole bunch of things can get us reaching for our wallets. Think about it – sometimes you just have to have the latest gadget, and other times, you’re perfectly happy with what you’ve got. This desire, or demand, is a tricky beast, and it’s influenced by more than just the price tag.
Economic Indicators And Investor Sentiment
When the economy is humming along, people generally feel more secure about their jobs and their money. This confidence often translates into a greater willingness to spend. Positive economic news, like falling unemployment rates or steady growth, can make consumers feel optimistic about the future. This optimism fuels demand. On the flip side, if there’s a lot of economic uncertainty, like fears of a recession or rising inflation, people tend to hold onto their money more tightly. This cautiousness can really put a damper on demand for many goods and services.
The general mood about the economy plays a big role. If folks think things are going to get better, they’re more likely to spend. If they’re worried, they’ll probably save.
Corporate Performance And Future Outlook
For things like stocks, what people think a company will do in the future is a huge driver of demand. If a company is reporting great profits, launching exciting new products, or expanding into new areas, investors get excited. They see potential for even more growth and are eager to buy shares, pushing up demand. But if a company is struggling, facing tough competition, or dealing with bad press, investors might get nervous. They might decide to sell their shares or avoid buying them altogether, which lowers demand.
Here’s a quick look at how company news can affect demand:
- Positive News: Strong earnings reports, successful product launches, or strategic partnerships can boost investor confidence and increase demand.
- Negative News: Lawsuits, product recalls, or declining market share can lead to decreased investor confidence and lower demand.
- Analyst Ratings: Recommendations from financial analysts can also sway investor opinion and influence demand.
The Volatility Of Demand
Unlike the supply of goods, which often changes at a slower pace, demand can swing wildly and quickly. A viral social media post, a celebrity endorsement, or even a sudden shift in trends can cause demand for a product to skyrocket overnight. Think about those fidget spinners a few years back, or the sudden craze for certain collectibles. These shifts can happen without any change in the actual availability of the item. This unpredictability is why businesses have to stay so attuned to what’s happening in culture and with consumers. It’s a constant balancing act to try and meet these fluctuating desires.
How Supply And Demand Imbalances Shape Prices
When things get out of whack between how much of something is available and how much people want it, prices tend to do some interesting things. It’s all about the push and pull, and understanding these shifts is key to figuring out why prices move the way they do.
When Supply Exceeds Demand
Imagine a store with way too many winter coats in stock come spring. The weather’s warming up, and nobody’s really buying. What does the store owner do? They’ll probably slash prices to get those coats off the shelves. This is a classic case of supply being higher than demand. When there’s more of something than people want to buy at the current price, sellers have to lower that price to encourage sales. It’s a simple concept, really: more stuff, less desire, lower price. This happens all the time with seasonal items or products that just aren’t as popular as expected. The law of supply and demand clearly states that when supply is greater than demand, prices will decrease.
When Demand Outstrips Supply
Now, flip that around. What happens when everyone suddenly wants something, but there just isn’t enough of it to go around? Think about a hot new gadget that sells out instantly, or a limited-edition sneaker release. When demand is high and supply is low, prices tend to shoot up. People are willing to pay more to get their hands on that scarce item. This is why you sometimes see crazy price hikes for concert tickets or collectibles. The scarcity drives up the perceived value, and sellers can charge a premium. It’s the opposite of the previous scenario: less stuff, more desire, higher price.
The Impact On Everyday Goods and Services
These imbalances aren’t just theoretical; they affect our daily lives constantly.
- Groceries: Ever notice how the price of strawberries can jump in the off-season but drop significantly when they’re in abundance?
- Gasoline: Fluctuations in global oil production (supply) and travel demand can lead to noticeable changes at the pump.
- Housing: When many people want to buy homes in an area but there aren’t many available, prices soar. Conversely, if there are lots of houses for sale and fewer buyers, prices tend to fall.
The market price isn’t always a
Supply Demand Affects Prices In Various Markets
Supply and demand aren’t just abstract economic concepts; they’re the forces that shape the prices of almost everything we interact with daily. From the groceries in our carts to the roofs over our heads, these principles are constantly at play. Let’s look at how this plays out in a few key areas.
The Housing Market Dynamics
The housing market is a classic example of supply and demand in action. When there aren’t many homes available for sale (low supply) but lots of people want to buy (high demand), prices tend to shoot up. This is often called a seller’s market because sellers can often get top dollar, sometimes even sparking bidding wars. On the flip side, if there are more houses on the market than buyers looking, sellers might have to lower their prices to attract interest. This creates a buyer’s market where deals can be found.
- Seller’s Market: High demand, low supply leads to rising prices.
- Buyer’s Market: Low demand, high supply leads to falling prices.
- Equilibrium: A balance where prices are stable because supply meets demand.
The availability of homes, interest rates, and even local job growth all play a role in shifting the balance between supply and demand in real estate.
Labor Market Fluctuations
Think about jobs. If a specific skill is in high demand by employers, but not many people have that skill (low supply of labor), those workers can often command higher salaries. We saw this with certain tech jobs a few years back. Conversely, if there are many people looking for work in a field where there aren’t many openings, wages might stay flat or even decrease. The theory of price explains this dynamic well – it’s all about the balance between how many jobs are out there and how many people are qualified and looking for them.
Stock Market Volatility
While many factors influence stock prices, supply and demand are major drivers. When more investors want to buy a particular stock than sell it, demand outstrips supply, and the price typically goes up. If the opposite happens – more people want to sell than buy – the price usually falls. This constant push and pull between buyers and sellers, influenced by company news, economic reports, and general market sentiment, creates the volatility we often see in the stock market.
- Increased demand for a stock can push its price higher.
- Increased supply of a stock can push its price lower.
- Investor sentiment can significantly impact demand, sometimes independent of a company’s actual performance.
Understanding these market-specific dynamics helps explain why prices move the way they do, whether you’re buying a house, looking for a job, or investing in stocks.
Analyzing Supply And Demand For Informed Decisions
So, you’ve got the basics of supply and demand down. Now what? It’s time to actually use that knowledge to make smarter moves, whether you’re investing or just trying to understand why that one gadget suddenly costs way more. It’s not just about knowing the theory; it’s about seeing it in action and figuring out what it means for prices.
Leveraging Trading Volume For Insights
Think of trading volume as the chatter in the market. When lots of people are buying or selling something, the volume goes up. This can tell you a lot about how strong the demand or supply really is. If a stock’s price is climbing and the volume is high, that’s a good sign that a lot of people want it, and the price might keep going up. On the flip side, if the price is dropping and volume is surging, it suggests a lot of people are trying to sell, and the price could fall further.
- High Volume + Rising Price: Often signals strong demand.
- High Volume + Falling Price: Can indicate strong selling pressure.
- Low Volume: Might mean less conviction behind a price move.
Identifying Key Support And Resistance Levels
These are like invisible floors and ceilings for prices. Support levels are where prices tend to stop falling and bounce back up, usually because demand is strong enough to absorb the selling. Resistance levels are where prices tend to stall and turn back down, because supply is meeting strong buying interest. Watching these levels can give you clues about where the balance between buyers and sellers might shift. When a price breaks through a support or resistance level with conviction (and usually high volume), it often means the supply-demand balance has changed, and the price is likely to move further in that direction.
Considering Long-Term Market Trends
Short-term price swings can be noisy and confusing. It’s easy to get caught up in the daily ups and downs. But looking at the bigger picture, over weeks, months, or even years, can give you a clearer view of the underlying supply and demand forces. Are prices generally trending up, down, or sideways? This long-term perspective helps you filter out the noise and focus on the more significant shifts in market sentiment and availability.
Sometimes, the most obvious signals are the ones that matter most. Don’t overcomplicate things when the market is telling a clear story through its price action and the sheer number of transactions happening.
Here’s a quick look at how volume can play a role:
| Scenario | Price Action | Volume Action | Potential Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Demand Confirmation | Rising | Increasing | Price likely to continue up |
| Strong Supply Confirmation | Falling | Increasing | Price likely to continue down |
| Indecision/Consolidation | Sideways | Decreasing | Market waiting for a catalyst |
| Breakout Confirmation | Moving | Increasing | Trend continuation likely |
Integrating Supply Demand Analysis With Other Tools
Combining With Fundamental Analysis
Supply and demand don’t just appear out of thin air. They’re often driven by deeper reasons. That’s where fundamental analysis comes in. Think of it like this: supply and demand tells you what’s happening with prices, and fundamental analysis helps explain why. By looking at a company’s financial health, its industry, and the overall economy, you can get a better idea of whether demand for its stock is likely to grow or shrink, or if the company might issue more shares (increasing supply) or buy them back (decreasing supply).
For example, if a company reports great earnings and has a bright future, investors will likely want to buy more of its stock. This increased demand, without a sudden jump in supply, will push prices up. Conversely, if a company is struggling, people might rush to sell, increasing supply and lowering prices.
Understanding the underlying business and economic conditions provides context for the price movements you see. It’s like knowing the weather forecast before deciding what to wear – you’re better prepared.
Utilizing Technical Indicators
While fundamental analysis looks at the ‘why,’ technical indicators focus on the ‘how’ and ‘when’ of price movements, often reflecting supply and demand in action. Tools like moving averages can show the general direction of price trends, hinting at whether demand or supply is currently in control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), for instance, can signal if a stock is becoming overbought (high demand relative to supply) or oversold (high supply relative to demand).
Here’s a quick look at how some indicators can relate to supply and demand:
- Moving Averages: Smooth out price data to show the trend. A rising moving average suggests demand is winning.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures the speed and change of price movements. Readings above 70 often mean high demand, while below 30 suggest high supply.
- Volume: The number of shares traded. High volume on an upswing confirms strong demand; high volume on a downswing confirms strong selling pressure.
Incorporating Market Sentiment Analysis
People’s feelings about the market can be a powerful force, sometimes even overriding pure supply and demand logic in the short term. Market sentiment analysis tries to gauge this collective mood. Are investors feeling optimistic and eager to buy, or are they fearful and looking to sell? This ‘fear and greed’ can significantly impact demand, and sometimes even influence supply if people decide to hold onto or sell their shares based on emotion rather than fundamentals.
- News and Social Media: What are people saying? Is there a lot of positive buzz or widespread worry?
- Investor Surveys: Direct polls can give a snapshot of general sentiment.
- Put/Call Ratios: These options market indicators can suggest whether traders are betting on prices going up or down.
By combining these different approaches – understanding the company’s value, watching price patterns, and sensing the overall mood – you get a much clearer picture of the forces at play. It’s not about relying on just one tool, but using a toolbox to make more sensible decisions.
Developing Trading Strategies Based On Market Forces
Alright, so we’ve talked a lot about what supply and demand are and how they mess with prices. Now, let’s get practical. How do you actually use this stuff to make trades? It’s not just about watching charts; it’s about figuring out where the market’s headed and hopping on board, or maybe even betting against it if you’re feeling brave.
Trend Following Strategies
This is probably the most straightforward way to use supply and demand. The basic idea is simple: if prices are going up, keep buying. If they’re going down, well, you might want to sell or even short the stock. It’s like going with the flow. You’re not trying to be a hero and catch a falling knife or stop a runaway train. You’re just riding the wave.
- Identify the Trend: First things first, you gotta figure out if the price is generally moving up, down, or sideways. Look at charts, check moving averages – whatever works for you.
- Confirm with Volume: Is the volume picking up as the price moves? Big volume on an upswing? That’s usually a good sign demand is strong. Lots of volume on a downswing? Sellers are probably getting serious.
- Enter and Exit: Once you’re in, you ride it. But you also need to know when to get out. Maybe you set a stop-loss order, or you exit when you see signs the trend is weakening.
The trick here is not to be too early or too late. Jumping in too soon means you might buy at the peak, and waiting too long means you miss most of the move. It takes practice to get a feel for the right timing.
Identifying Buying Opportunities In Upward Trends
So, the market’s clearly heading north. Demand is winning the tug-of-war against supply. What do you do? You look for chances to buy. This isn’t about blindly buying every stock that’s going up. You want to find the ones with solid momentum and a good chance of continuing their climb.
- Pullbacks: Prices don’t go straight up. They often have small dips or ‘pullbacks’ before continuing higher. These can be great spots to buy in, assuming the overall uptrend is still intact. You’re essentially buying at a slight discount before the next leg up.
- Breakouts: Sometimes, a stock will consolidate, trading in a tight range for a while. When it finally breaks out of that range to the upside, especially with good volume, it can signal the start of a new upward move or the continuation of an existing one.
- Confirmation: Always look for confirmation. Are other indicators agreeing? Is the company news generally positive? Don’t just buy because the price is ticking up.
Recognizing Selling Opportunities In Downward Trends
Now, flip that around. Prices are falling, and supply is overwhelming demand. This is where you look for chances to sell, or if you’re comfortable with it, to short the stock (betting that the price will fall further).
- Rallies: Just like pullbacks in an uptrend, downtrends often have small bounces or ‘rallies’ where the price temporarily moves up. These can be good moments to sell your holdings or initiate a short position, expecting the price to resume its downward path.
- Breakdowns: If a stock is trading in a range and then breaks below a key support level, especially with high volume, it’s often a signal that more selling is coming. This can be a good time to sell.
- Confirmation: Again, look for confirmation. Is the overall market weak? Are there negative news stories about the company or its industry? Don’t just sell because the price is dropping; understand why.
Using these strategies requires patience and discipline. You’re not going to get rich overnight, but by sticking to a plan based on supply and demand, you can make more sensible trading decisions.
The Advantages And Limitations Of Supply Demand Analysis
Gaining Deeper Market Understanding
Looking at supply and demand can really help you get a better feel for what’s going on in a market. It’s like seeing the invisible forces that push prices up or down. When you see more people wanting something than there is available, you know prices are likely to climb. Conversely, if there’s a ton of something but not many buyers, prices usually take a hit. This basic principle helps explain a lot of price movements we see every day. It’s not just about stocks; think about concert tickets or even the price of gas. Understanding this balance gives you a clearer picture of why things cost what they do.
Challenges In Precise Measurement
While the idea of supply and demand is straightforward, actually putting numbers on it can be tricky. It’s not like you can just walk into a store and count every single item available or poll every single person who might want to buy it. We often have to rely on indirect clues, like trading volumes or news reports, to guess what’s happening. This means our understanding is often an educated guess rather than a hard fact. Sometimes, the market reacts to news or events faster than we can even measure the supply or demand changes, making it hard to pinpoint the exact cause and effect.
The Role Of Unforeseen Events
Markets are messy, and sometimes things happen that nobody saw coming. Think about a sudden natural disaster that disrupts production or a new government policy that changes how much people can afford. These kinds of unexpected events can completely flip the script on supply and demand, often very quickly. A new technology could suddenly make an old product obsolete, or a global health scare could send demand for certain goods through the roof overnight. Supply and demand analysis is great for understanding normal market flow, but it struggles when the unexpected hits hard. It’s like trying to predict the weather during a hurricane – the usual patterns just don’t apply anymore.
Navigating Market Dynamics With Supply Demand Principles
Understanding how supply and demand play out is pretty key to figuring out what’s going on with prices. It’s not just about knowing the basics; it’s about seeing how these forces shift and change things day to day.
Understanding Price Elasticity
Price elasticity is basically a fancy way of saying how much the quantity of something people want to buy or sell changes when the price goes up or down. Think about it: if the price of your favorite coffee jumps way up, you might buy less, right? That’s demand being elastic. But if it’s something you absolutely need, like certain medications, you’ll probably keep buying it even if the price creeps up. That’s inelastic demand.
- Elastic Demand: A small price change causes a big change in how much people want.
- Inelastic Demand: Price changes don’t affect how much people want very much.
- Unit Elastic Demand: Price changes and quantity changes are pretty much equal.
This idea helps explain why some price changes have a huge impact and others barely move the needle. It’s all about how sensitive buyers and sellers are to price shifts.
The Influence Of Consumer Preferences
What people like and want is always changing, and that directly messes with demand. Think about fads or new tech. One day everyone wants the latest gadget, and demand shoots up. Then, a newer, shinier thing comes out, and suddenly, demand for the old one plummets. Companies have to pay attention to this stuff constantly. If they don’t, they could end up with a ton of stuff nobody wants anymore.
Consumer tastes and preferences are a moving target. What’s popular today might be forgotten tomorrow. Businesses that can adapt quickly to these shifts are the ones that tend to do well.
Adapting To Dynamic Market Conditions
Markets aren’t static; they’re always in motion. New information pops up, economies shift, and global events happen. Supply and demand analysis gives you a framework to think about these changes. For instance, if a big storm hits a region that produces a lot of a certain crop, you can expect the supply to drop, and prices to likely go up. Being able to adjust your thinking based on these new realities is what separates people who just watch the market from those who can actually make sense of it.
Wrapping It Up
So, we’ve walked through how supply and demand really work. It’s not some super complicated idea when you break it down. Basically, if more people want something than there is available, the price goes up. If there’s a ton of something and not many takers, the price tends to drop. This push and pull is happening all the time, not just with stocks, but with pretty much everything we buy. Keeping an eye on these basics can help you make smarter choices, whether you’re shopping for groceries or thinking about investing. It’s a simple concept, but it really does explain a lot about why things cost what they do.
Frequently Asked Questions
What exactly are supply and demand?
Think of supply as how much of something is available, like toys in a store. Demand is how much people want to buy that thing. When lots of people want a toy (high demand) but there aren’t many available (low supply), the price usually goes up. If there are tons of toys but nobody wants them, the price will likely drop.
How does price connect to supply and demand?
Price is like a signal. If a price is high, it tells sellers to make more of that item because they can earn good money. It also tells buyers to maybe wait or look for something else because it’s expensive. If a price is low, sellers might make less, and buyers might think it’s a good deal and buy more.
What is the 'market clearing price'?
This is the sweet spot where the amount of stuff available exactly matches the amount people want to buy. At this price, sellers are happy to sell, and buyers are happy to buy. There’s no leftover stuff, and no one is left wanting something that isn’t there.
What makes the supply of something change?
Lots of things can affect supply! For businesses, it could be the cost of making the item, new technology that makes production easier, or even government rules. Sometimes companies decide to make more or less on purpose, like buying back their own stock to make it seem more valuable.
What makes the demand for something change?
Demand can change based on how people are feeling about the economy. If people feel confident and have jobs, they tend to buy more. If they’re worried about money, they buy less. Also, what’s popular or trendy can change demand really fast!
What happens when supply and demand are out of balance?
If there’s way more stuff than people want (like too many winter coats in summer), prices usually fall to get rid of the extra. But if everyone wants something and there’s hardly any of it (like a super popular new game console at launch), prices can skyrocket!
How does this apply to things like houses or jobs?
It’s the same idea! If lots of people want to buy houses in an area but there aren’t many for sale, prices go up. In the job market, if many companies need a specific skill but few people have it, those workers can often get better pay.
Can supply and demand help predict prices?
It’s a big clue! By watching how much of something is being bought and sold (volume) and looking at price patterns, you can get a good idea of whether prices might go up or down. It’s like reading the mood of the market.